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The ECB Blog

A European view on central banking and the economy

The ECB Blog offers new insights on the economy and central bank policies based on our data, analysis and research - for the euro area and beyond. Posts are authored by ECB staff and Executive Board members.

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2 July 2026

Beyond energy prices: the ripple effects of Gulf supply disruptions

How vulnerable is the global economy to trade disruption in the Strait of Hormuz? Using scenario-based analyses, this blog shows that supply shortages can affect growth and inflation beyond the impact on global energy prices.

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